ICC Cricket World Cup: Semi-Final Qualification for Six Teams

As the ICC Cricket World Cup 2023 edges closer to the knockout stages, the battle for semi-final berths has intensified. Six teams—Australia, New Zealand, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Sri Lanka, and the Netherlands—are locked in a gripping contest, each vying for a spot in the coveted final four. With the tournament’s dynamics shifting with every match, let’s unravel the scenarios and understand what each team needs to do to secure their passage to the semi-finals. This is more than just cricket; it’s a strategic tussle where every run, wicket, and point could tilt the scales of fate.

Australia

  • Played Matches: 7
  • Points: 10
  • Remaining Matches: vs Afghanistan, Bangladesh
  • Qualification Scenario: Australia is in a strong position to secure the third semi-final spot. A win against Afghanistan would almost guarantee their qualification due to their high net run rate (NRR). Even with a loss, they could still qualify if they win against Bangladesh and maintain a better NRR than their competitors.

New Zealand

  • Played Matches: 8
  • Points: 8
  • Remaining Matches: vs Sri Lanka
  • Qualification Scenario: New Zealand‘s path is trickier. They need to win against Sri Lanka and hope for favorable outcomes in other matches. If Afghanistan loses their remaining games and England defeats Pakistan, New Zealand could qualify with 10 points without NRR being a factor.

Afghanistan

  • Played Matches: 7
  • Points: 8
  • Remaining Matches: vs Australia, South Africa
  • Qualification Scenario: Afghanistan must win both their remaining matches to qualify. Their negative NRR is a disadvantage, so they need other results to go their way, particularly losses for Pakistan and New Zealand.

Pakistan

  • Played Matches: 8
  • Points: 8
  • Remaining Matches: vs England
  • Qualification Scenario: Pakistan‘s resurgence keeps their hopes alive. They need to beat England and rely on other match outcomes. If New Zealand and Afghanistan lose their remaining matches, Pakistan could qualify without considering NRR.

Sri Lanka

  • Played Matches: 7
  • Points: 4
  • Remaining Matches: vs Bangladesh, New Zealand
  • Qualification Scenario: Sri Lanka‘s chances are slim due to their low points and poor NRR. They need to win their remaining matches and hope for all other contenders to lose, making it a battle of NRR for the qualifying spots.

Netherlands

  • Played Matches: 7
  • Points: 4
  • Remaining Matches: vs England, India
  • Qualification Scenario: Similar to Sri Lanka, the Netherlands have a mathematical chance only. They must win their remaining games and depend entirely on unfavorable results for the other teams, with NRR becoming the deciding factor.